This alert expired on 7 May 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued May 7 at 11:41AM EDT until May 7 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 29, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 55 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 27.7000, -81.7000 |
| Nearest City | Lake Wales (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 237.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-07T15:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e6de8852e657ff1c33b53e1185290ae |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Bay, FL; Calhoun, FL; Franklin, FL; Gadsden, FL; Gulf, FL; Holmes, FL; Jackson, FL; Jefferson, FL; Leon, FL; Liberty, FL; Wakulla, FL; Walton, FL; Washington, FL; Brooks, GA; Decatur, GA; Grady, GA; Lowndes, GA; Seminole, GA; Thomas, GA; Escambia, FL; Okaloosa, FL; Santa Rosa, FL |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued May 7 at 11:41AM EDT until May 7 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-07T14:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tallahassee FL |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e6de8852e657ff1c33b53e1185290aefe27367f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bcdf70a47954a726b646512ca5be16a2b7349a2a.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.